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IT HAS BEEN WIDELY reported since Super
Tuesday that John McCain has effectively sewn
up the Republican nomination for president but
must still convince enough American
conservatives that he stands as heir to Ronald
Reagan. This poses an obstacle to his election
in November. McCain might be more successful in
wooing conservatives if he claimed the mantle
of a different Republican icon, Winston
Churchill, a maverick distrusted in his day by
Conservatives and a man whom McCain praised
frequently in his books. The parallels between
McCain and Churchill are striking and
instructive.
Both grew up as underachievers in the
shadow of prominent fathers and ancestors and
then surpassed them in renown. Churchill's
father was chancellor of the Exchequer, a
descendant of the Duke of Marlborough who
defeated the armies of Louis XIV, while
McCain's father and grandfather were prominent
admirals. Both McCain and Churchill were
fearless soldiers and prisoners of war,
although Churchill escaped Boer captivity after
mere weeks while McCain endured more than five
grueling years at the Hanoi Hilton. Both have
felt most at home in battle, whether in war or
political chambers, and have shared a
restlessness to advance their own careers and
the cause of their countries.
Neither Churchill nor McCain was ever liked
much by his colleagues. Perhaps early on
Churchill was more liked and his brilliance
more respected, but he switched from the
Conservatives in 1904 to the Liberals with much
newfound partisan fervor, and the Conservatives
never forgave him even after he returned to the
fold in 1924--even after he won WWII.
Churchill's dispute with the party leadership
over control of India (he favored it), Nazi
Germany (he was against it), Zionism (he was
for it), and other divisive issues, as well as
his occasional outreach to Labourites--indeed,
he headed a wartime coalition government--did
not help his popularity among the party
faithful. McCain has always been a Republican,
but, without being the partisan warrior
Churchill was, he has never been personally
popular with his party colleagues. He further
alienated the party faithful and establishment
by co-sponsoring legislation with Democrats.
Both have been perceived by colleagues as
erratic, and occasionally harsh in personal
relations.
Fundamental to Churchill's worldview was
the belief that priorities had to be rigidly
ranked and that the supreme interests need to
be vigorously and single-mindedly pursued.
Chief among those interests was national
security. McCain has suggested a similar
approach. Indeed, McCain and Churchill lived
and breathed national security issues, and it
is in this policy field that their similarities
are most pronounced. They both strongly
believed in their countries, considering them
the chief champions of civilization, and they
have been rarities in usually putting national
security interests ahead of their political
fortunes.
From the time he became First Lord of the
Admiralty shortly before WWI, Churchill was
mostly tough-minded and prescient about major
national security issues. He took the unpopular
stands of seeking to overthrow the new
Bolshevik government in 1919-1920 (derisively
dubbed "Churchill's War"), warning against the
rise of the Nazis in the 1930s when appeasement
was overwhelmingly popular, and then privately
and publicly warning against the emerging
Soviet threat shortly after Yalta in early 1945
when the British people were exhausted after
almost six years of war.
Churchill dismissed the political
consequences of his positions on preeminent
matters. Indicative of his attitude was his
private response in 1919 to criticism over his
anti-Bolshevik crusade: "I cannot help feeling
a most dreadful & ever present sense of
responsibility. Am I wrong? How easy for me to
shrug my shoulders & say it is on the
Cabinet, or on the Paris [Versailles]
Conference. I cannot do it." Although steadfast
in principle, Churchill remained tactically
flexible, making alliances even with despised
regimes and former enemies in order to advance
British national security interests against
those he usually depicted as foes of Western
civilization.
McCain has also often taken gutsy and
discerning stands on national security. He
stood up and supported the Kosovo war despite
personal misgivings and general Republican
apathy over what they deemed "Clinton's war"
because he thought it necessary to rally around
the president and troops in time of battle.
McCain also gave the most persuasive argument
why containing Saddam Hussein was untenable,
and then after 2003 became a persistent critic
of the management of the war, including troop
levels, before taking the unpopular (even among
Republicans) early stand of supporting the
surge, which has made significant advances. He
often sees conflicts within a clash of
civilizations, warning about the threat posed
by radical Islam, while remaining flexible in
tactics and alliances. McCain has also
persistently warned against the danger of a
nuclear Iran, and even raised the idea of
bombing Iran's nuclear sites when much of the
country is wary of new military engagements. A
McCain administration would make our enemies
nervous in ways that no president has since
Bush in 2001-03 or Reagan for much of his
tenure.
It was Churchill's credibility, earned by
staking out unpopular but prophetic positions,
that led him to be embraced by his political
nemesis Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain when
war broke out in 1939, and then catapulted him
to replace Chamberlain over war mismanagement
in 1940. After shockingly losing the postwar
election in 1945, Churchill regained the
premiership in 1951 by seizing on the Labour
government's failures in economic and foreign
affairs. He coopted the political center by
advocating, in place of bitter party strife, a
"solid stable administration by a government
not seeking to rub party dogma into everybody
else."
It was McCain's unique national security
credibility that similarly brought him back
into the good graces of his more powerful
political rival, President George W. Bush, and
he can legitimately offer himself as a
competent and effective wartime commander in
chief. But McCain now can attain the presidency
only if he also reaches out to the political
center, or independents, as he has before.
Adhering to party orthodoxy is no guarantee
of greatness. Churchill often diverged from the
party line, but he emerged undeniably the
greatest leader of his party, country, and the
West of his era. Indeed, Stanley Baldwin, prime
minister of the mid-1930s, was a most popular
Conservative party leader but is remembered by
history for dawdling while Nazi Germany
rearmed. Churchill memorably claimed publicly
in 1936 that the Baldwin government was
"resolved to be irresolute, adamant for drift,
solid for fluidity, all-powerful to be
impotent," and later lamented privately he
would have preferred Baldwin never had lived.
Churchill was far more gracious toward
Chamberlain, who at least tried to do something
to blunt the Nazi threat, however disastrous
the result of his appeasement policy.
McCain certainly has not achieved
Churchill's heights, but he can legitimately
claim to be the most Churchillian among the
Republicans of his day. That not only offers
hope for a possible McCain administration,
especially during this time of war, but should
also be encouraging to conservatives.
Michael Makovsky, foreign policy
director of the Bipartisan Policy Center, is a
former special assistant in the Office of
Secretary of Defense, 2002-2006, and is author
of the new book Churchill's Promised
Land (Yale University
Press). |